Skripsi
EFEKTIVITAS FIVE POINT CONSENSUS ASEAN DALAM MENANGANI KRISIS REZIM MILITER MYANMAR PASCA KUDETA 2021-2024
On February 1, 2021, a military coup abruptly ended Myanmar's fragile democratic transition led by Aung San Suu Kyi, triggering a protracted humanitarian crisis characterized by thousands of fatalities, over 1.5 million internally displaced persons, and collapse of economic, social, and security sectors. In response, ASEANformulated the Five-Point Consensus, a regional diplomatic framework comprising immediate cessation of violence, inclusive dialogue among all parties, appointment of a special ASEAN envoy, delivery of humanitarian assistance, and unrestricted access for the envoy to all stakeholders. This study applies the International Regime Effectiveness Theory to systematically evaluate the consensus across three dimensions: output (formal norms and policies established), outcome (behavioral changes among key actors), and impact (tangible improvements in Myanmar's political, social, and humanitarian conditions). Findings indicate that while the consensus represents a normative diplomatic breakthrough for ASEAN, its implementation has been severely constrained due to weak enforcement mechanisms, uneven political commitment within ASEAN members, and the Myanmar military's superior coercive capacity. Effectiveness is limited as violence persists, humanitarian aid is impeded, dialogue remains stalled, and governance and human rights conditions deteriorate. The research concludes that the Five-Point Consensus functions more as a symbolic agreement than as a substantive crisis resolution tool; enhancing its effectiveness requires reforms in enforcement, stronger diplomatic engagement by ASEAN, and broader inclusion of non-state and shadow government actors to achieve greater peace and stability in Myanmar
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