This study aims to analyze and compare the performance of two conventional time series forecasting models, Holt–Winters and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), in predicting monthly climate variables in Semarang City, including air temperature, rainfall, and humidity. A head-to-head multivariable comparison was conducted within a single experimental framework in a trop…
Shallots are a food commodity that often experiences price fluctuations and is one of the contributors to inflation in the city of Palembang. This study compares the ARIMA, SARIMA, and LSTM methods for predicting shallot prices using daily data from January 2020 to October 2025. The research stages include data collection, preprocessing, visualization and decomposition, division of training and…
This study compares the accuracy of ARIMA, SARIMA, and Exponential Smoothing Holt-Winters models in forecasting coal prices. Coal prices that change over time require price forecasting to support decision making. Therefore, this study forecasts coal prices through ARIMA, SARIMA and Exponential Smoothing Holt-Winters to obtain the best method in forecasting coal prices from November 2024 to Octo…